Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 718
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 718 · MKK → OGG
departs 7:21 PM HT · arrives 8:21 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 29%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±6 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MKK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
OGG is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 3.0 in of rain forecast at MKK that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into OGG at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MKK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.95 in
OGG (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.