Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 720
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 720 · MUE → OGG
departs 7:40 PM HT · arrives 8:52 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 21%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MUE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
OGG is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MUE that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MUE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.28 in
OGG (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.