Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 730
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 730 · OGG → MKK
departs 5:58 PM HT · arrives 6:58 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30 14%
Sat 10/31 12%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±6 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MKK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to MKK?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 3.0 in of rain forecast at MKK that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MKK usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into MKK at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.05 in
MKK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.