Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 758 · OGG → LNY
departs 5:56 PM HT · arrives 6:49 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 14%
Sat 10/31 12%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±6 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LNY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to LNY?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at LNY that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
LNY usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into LNY at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.05 in
LNY (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.