Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 988
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
9X 988 · MKK → OGG
departs 2:31 PM HT · arrives 3:31 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MKK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at OGG that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 3.0 in of rain forecast at MKK that day
↑
OGG is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
9X's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MKK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.95 in
OGG (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.