Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1365 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AA 1365 · DFW → ELP

departs 8:19 AM CT · arrives 9:13 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1365 · DFW → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?