Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 174 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AA 174 · RDU → LHR

departs 1:59 AM ET · arrives 12:49 PM GMT

Your aircraft is N796AN (B772), coming in as AA 173 from LHR: landed 6:32 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at RDU that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

LHR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 174 · RDU → LHR

Odds over time