Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1845SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1845 · SFO → PHL
departs 10:00 AM PT · arrives 6:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
23%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.