Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1847 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AA 1847 · DFW → FLL

departs 7:03 PM CT · arrives 11:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,933 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1847 · DFW → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?