Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2155 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AA 2155 · DFW → PHX

departs 11:27 AM CT · arrives 12:08 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2155 · DFW → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?