Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2156SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2156 · PHX → EWR
departs 10:14 PM MT · arrives 6:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±0 pts+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.