Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2343 LANDED 10:38 AM CT, ~313 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Today

AA 2343 · SAN → ORD

took off 4:49 AM PT · landed 10:38 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2343 · SAN → ORD

Odds over time