tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2404 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2404 · PHL → BOS

departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOS?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.