AA 3104 · DFW → ATL

took off 11:04 AM CT · landed 1:37 PM ET (scheduled 10:55 AM CT → 2:21 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3104 · DFW → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?