AA 454 · DFW → LBB

took off 11:08 AM CT · landed 11:56 AM CT (scheduled 10:48 AM CT → 12:11 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LBB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LBB (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 454 · DFW → LBB

Odds over time

How late did it get to LBB?