AA 497 · PHL → ATL

took off 1:45 PM ET · landed 3:29 PM ET (scheduled 1:24 PM ET → 3:42 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 497 · PHL → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?