Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 7100 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AC 7100 · YEG → LCQ

departs 7:31 AM MDT · arrives 2:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at LCQ more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LCQ?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 3.3 in of snow forecast at YEG that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into LCQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

YEG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.05 in

LCQ (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 7100 · YEG → LCQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to LCQ?