AS 1407 · ANC → PDX

took off 9:17 AM AKT · landed 1:40 PM PT (scheduled 8:57 AM AKT → 1:24 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PDX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PDX that day

↓ 8am departures from ANC are usually not late

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.01 in

PDX (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1407 · ANC → PDX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PDX?