AS 247 · FAI → ANC

took off 8:37 AM AKT · landed 9:24 AM AKT (scheduled 8:06 AM AKT → 9:18 AM AKT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ANC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAI

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ FAI usually runs smoothly

↓ 8am departures from FAI are usually not late

Weather at each end

FAI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 247 · FAI → ANC

Odds over time

How late did it get to ANC?