AS 257 · ANC → ADK

departs 11:06 AM AKT · arrives 1:14 PM HDT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at ADK more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ADK?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
19%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 45 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ADK that day

↓ ADK usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into ADK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,480 ft Visibility2.4 mi Precipnone

ADK (destination) Gusts43 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.50 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 257 · ANC → ADK

Odds over time

How late will it get to ADK?