tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 295 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 295 · SEA → EWR

departs 8:07 AM PT · arrives 4:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.