Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 337 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 6:22 PM CT (19 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Wednesday, October 28 Today

AS 337 · ORD → SEA

departs 5:42 PM CT · arrives 8:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 337 · ORD → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?