AS 508 · ANC → FAI

departs 3:20 PM AKT · arrives 4:31 PM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FAI?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

FAI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 508 · ANC → FAI

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAI?