Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 602 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AS 602 · SEA → DEN

departs 1:15 PM PT · arrives 4:53 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.07 in

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 602 · SEA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?