AS 65 · KTN → WRG

took off 9:11 AM AKDT · landed 9:29 AM AKDT (scheduled 8:57 AM AKDT → 9:37 AM AKDT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at WRG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to WRG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KTN

Weather at each end

KTN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

WRG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 65 · KTN → WRG

Odds over time

How late did it get to WRG?