AS 7011 · OME → ANC

departs 11:42 AM AKDT · arrives 1:27 PM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±3 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at OME that day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ OME usually runs smoothly

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OME (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precip0.86 in

ANC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7011 · OME → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?