AS 7027 · ANC → OTZ

departs 2:12 PM AKT · arrives 3:59 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OTZ?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OTZ that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into OTZ at that hour are usually not late

↓ OTZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

OTZ (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7027 · ANC → OTZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to OTZ?