Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 842 LANDED 12:59 PM HT, ~10 MIN LATE
Today

AS 842 · SMF → KOA

took off 10:38 AM PT · landed 12:59 PM HT (scheduled 10:05 AM PT → 12:55 PM HT)
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to KOA?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.