AS 9660 · SCC → ANC

departs 9:31 AM AKT · arrives 11:24 AM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SCC

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ SCC usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SCC (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 9660 · SCC → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?