B6 1033 · MCO → SJU

departs 7:02 AM ET · arrives 9:58 AM AT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MCO are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.36 in

SJU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1033 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?