Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 1196 · FLL → PVD
departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 9:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 50%
Fri 10/30 53%
Sat 10/31 44%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 2,633 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.15 in
PVD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.