Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1252
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
B6 1252 · RSW → HPN
departs 4:59 PM ET · arrives 8:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 2,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
HPN (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.