Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 138
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 138 · MCO → BDL
departs 8:03 PM ET · arrives 11:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 38%
Fri 10/30 43%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
8%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.