Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1454
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 1454 · SJU → FLL
departs 2:32 PM AT · arrives 5:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 26%
Fri 10/30 41%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,367 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.