Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 154
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 154 · SJU → FLL
departs 5:00 PM AT · arrives 7:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30 48%
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.