Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1626
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 1626 · FLL → RDU
departs 8:54 AM ET · arrives 11:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 14%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
8am departures from FLL are usually not late
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.28 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.