Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1734
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 1734 · SFO → BOS
departs 10:25 AM PT · arrives 7:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 20%
Fri 10/30 57%
Sun 11/1 43%
Mon 11/2 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.