Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1933
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
B6 1933 · MCO → SJU
departs 6:58 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 35%
Fri 10/30 32%
Sat 10/31 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.