Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2261
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
B6 2261 · BOS → MAD
departs 10:33 PM ET · arrives 9:53 AM CET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAD?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
10pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MAD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.