Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2471
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 2471 · FLL → BQN
departs 11:34 PM ET · arrives 2:12 AM AT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Wed 10/28
Fri 10/30 32%
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1 29%
Mon 11/2 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BQN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BQN?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,367 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
BQN (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.