Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2510
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
B6 2510 · SDQ → JFK
departs 3:58 PM AST · arrives 7:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30 39%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SDQ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SDQ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.