Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2581
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 2581 · FLL → BNA
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 10:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 31%
Fri 10/30 45%
Sat 10/31 34%
Sun 11/1 43%
Mon 11/2 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 2,967 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.15 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.