Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2761
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 2761 · FLL → SXM
departs 9:48 AM ET · arrives 12:53 PM AST
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at SXM more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SXM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SXM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SXM?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SXM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
SXM (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.