Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2823
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 2823 · FLL → MSY
departs 9:16 PM ET · arrives 10:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 39%
Sat 10/31 32%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.