Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 470
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 470 · FLL → BOS
departs 9:25 PM ET · arrives 12:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 52%
Fri 10/30 60%
Sat 10/31 44%
Sun 11/1 51%
Mon 11/2 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
9pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,633 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.