Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 501
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 501 · FLL → LAX
departs 4:07 PM ET · arrives 6:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 2,967 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.15 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.