Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 521
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 521 · MCO → MBJ
departs 11:03 AM ET · arrives 12:15 PM EST
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30 21%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MBJ more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MBJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MBJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MBJ?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
11am departures from MCO are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MBJ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
MBJ (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.