Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 547
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 547 · ISP → MCO
departs 3:02 PM ET · arrives 5:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 28%
Fri 10/30 34%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±6 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ISP
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.