Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 574
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 574 · AUA → BOS
departs 1:35 PM AST · arrives 6:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 31%
Fri 10/30 54%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave AUA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUA (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.