B6 635 · BUF → SJU

departs 7:54 AM ET · arrives 12:33 PM AT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 635 · BUF → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?